The Oscars 2016 – Who will win? Who should win? Who’s missing?

Best Film

The Big Short

Bridge of Spies

Brooklyn

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Room

Spotlight   

Frontier adventure The Revenant leads the field with 12 nominations, closely followed by exhilarating blockbuster-with-brains Mad Max: Fury Road (10 nominations). With six nominations apiece, financial-crash comedy The Big Short and investigative-journalism drama Spotlight are also in contention. All four movies boast victories on this year's awards circuit, but Bafta-winning The Revenant is the clear frontrunner.

The Revenant.jpg

Will win: The Revenant 

Should win: Mad Max: Fury Road

Who’s missing: Carol

Best Director 

Lenny Abrahamson – Room 

Alejandro G Inarritu – The Revenant 

Tom McCarthy - Spotlight 

Adam McKay – The Big Short 

George Miller – Mad Max: Fury Road 

Only twice before has a director won back to back Oscars (John Ford in 1941 and 1942 and Joseph L Mankiewicz in 1950 and 1951), but Alejandro G Inarritu, winner last year for Birdman, is on a roll with victories at the Directors Guild Awards, Golden Globes and Baftas and looks set to repeat the feat for his ferociously gripping tale of survival and revenge, The Revenant. 

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Will win: Alejandro G Inarritu – The Revenant 

Should win: George Miller – Mad Max: Fury Road 

Who’s missing: Todd Haynes – Carol

Best Actor 

Bryan Cranston - Trumbo 

Matt Damon – The Martian 

Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant 

Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs 

Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl  

Following his triumph in The Theory of Everything last year, could Eddie Redmayne pull off an Oscar double with his performance as The Danish Girl's transgender pioneer? No, frankly. Having gone through the Academy-impressing on-set ordeals of eating raw bison liver and sleeping inside a horse carcass for The Revenant, fith-time nominee Leonardo DiCaprio is a shoo-in for this award.

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Will win: Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant 

Should win: Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs

Who’s missing: Ralph Fiennes – A Bigger Splash   

Best Actress 

Cate Blanchett - Carol 

Brie Larson – Room 

Jennifer Lawrence - Joy 

Charlotte Rampling – 45 Years 

Saoirse Ronan - Brooklyn  

This year's Best Actress field is exceptionally strong. Each one of the five nominees would make a worthy winner. Saoirse Ronan is surely destined to join past winners Cate Blanchett and Jennifer Lawrence in the Oscars hall of fame – just not this year. Brie Larson's heartrending portrayal of a young mother held prisoner in a shed with her five-year-old son in Room is justifiably the favourite here.

Will win: Brie Larson – Room 

Should win: Brie Larson – Room 

Who's missing: Emily Blunt - Sicario

Best Supporting Actor 

Christian Bale – The Big Short 

Tom Hardy – The Revenant 

Mark Ruffalo - Spotlight

Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies 

Sylvester Stallone - Creed

#OscarsSoWhite began trending on social media as soon as the 2016 nominations were announced and this is the category where the furore about a lack of diversity is most telling. Idris Elba (Beasts of No Nation) and Benicio Del Toro (Sicario) both have good reason to feel aggrieved at their omission from this lineup. As things stand, expect Hollywood veteran Sylvester Stallone, playing Rocky Balboa for the seventh time in Creed, to ride to victory on a tide of Academy sentiment, although Bafta winner Mark Rylance has a good shot.

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(Image credit: Barry Wetcher)

Will win: Sylvester Stallone - Creed 

Should win: Tom Hardy – The Revenant 

Who's missing: Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation

Best Supporting Actress 

Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight 

Rooney Mara – Carol 

Rachel Adams – Spotlight 

Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl 

Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs  

Kate Winslet picked up an Oscar in 2009 for The Reader and has a strong chance of adding to her collection for her role in Steve Jobs following her Bafta triumph last month. She faces strong competition from Alicia Vikander, although her rival has arguably been nominated in the wrong category (she’s clearly The Danish Girl’s co-lead, as is Carol’s Rooney Mara) or possibly for the wrong film, given her astonishing performance as Ex Machina's robot.

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Will win: Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl 

Should win: Rooney Mara – Carol  

Who's missing: Kristen Stewart, The Clouds of Sils Maria

Animated Feature Film

Anomalisa

Boy and the World

Inside Out

Shaun the Sheep Movie

When Marnie Was There

Will win:  Inside Out

Cinematography

Carol

The Hateful Eight

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Revenant

Sicario

Will win:  The Revenant

Costume Design

Carol

Cinderella

The Danish Girl

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Revenant

Will win:  Cinderella

Documentary Feature

Amy

Cartel Land

The Look of Silence

What Happened, Miss Simone?

Winter on Fire: Ukraine’s Fight for Freedom

Will win:   Amy

Documentary Short Subject

Body Team 12

Chau, Beyond the Lines

Claude Lanzmann: Spectres of the Shoah

A Girl in the River: The Prince of Forgiveness

Last Day of Freedom

Will win:   Body Team 12

Film Editing

The Big Short

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Revenant

Spotlight

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Will win:  Mad Max: Fury Road

Foreign Language Film

Embrace of the Serpent

Mustang

Son of Saul

Theeb

A War

Will win:  Son of Saul

Makeup and Hairstyling

Mad Max: Fury Road

The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed out the Window and Disappeared

The Revenant

Will win: Mad Max: Fury Road 

Music Original Score

Bridge of Spies

Carol

The Hateful Eight

Sicario

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Will win:   The Hateful Eight

Music Original Song

‘Earned It’ – Fifty Shades of Grey

‘Manta Ray’ – Racing Extinction

‘Simple Song’ – Youth

‘Til It Happens To You’ – The Hunting Ground

‘Writing’s on the Wall’ - Spectre

Will win:   ‘Til It Happens To You’ – The Hunting Ground

Production Design

Bridge of Spies

The Danish Girl

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Will win:  Mad Max: Fury Road  

Animated Short Film 

Bear Story

Prologue

Sanjay’s Super Team

We Can’t Live Without the Cosmos

World of Tomorrow

Will win:  Sanjay’s Super Team

Live Action Short Film

Ave Maria

Day One

Everything Will Be Okay (Alles Wird Gut)

Shok

Stutterer

Will win: Ave Maria

Sound Editing

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Sicario

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Will win:  Mad Max: Fury Road  

Sound Mixing 

Bridge of Spies

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Will win:  Mad Max: Fury Road  

Visual Effects  

Ex Machina

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Will win:  Mad Max: Fury Road  

Adapted Screenplay

The Big Short 

Brooklyn

Carol

The Martian

Room 

Will win:  The Big Short

Original Screenplay

Bridge of Spies

Ex Machina

Inside Out

Spotlight

Straight Outta Compton

Will win:   Spotlight

CATEGORIES
Jason Best

A film critic for over 25 years, Jason admits the job can occasionally be glamorous – sitting on a film festival jury in Portugal; hanging out with Baz Luhrmann at the Chateau Marmont; chatting with Sigourney Weaver about The Archers – but he mostly spends his time in darkened rooms watching films. He’s also written theatre and opera reviews, two guide books on Rome, and competed in a race for Yachting World, whose great wheeze it was to send a seasick film critic to write about his time on the ocean waves. But Jason is happiest on dry land with a classic screwball comedy or Hitchcock thriller.